Cash Rate Update – December 2014

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.50%, marking the first full calendar year on record without adjustment.

Australia’s economic outlook has not changed significantly over the past month and despite the slump in the dollar in November the TD Securities/Melbourne Institute monthly inflation gauge rose just 0.1%, as increases in the price of fruit and vegetables were offset by lower commodity prices.

The global economy outlook has also seen little variation over this recent period. The US economy is recovering, albeit very slowly. Chinese economic growth is modest and much of Europe continues to be of concern with high unemployment and a looming risk of deflation. The unstable situation in Eastern Ukraine together with the efforts to combat ISIS in Iraq and Syria continue to pose threats to the recovery of the world economy.

It is clear that the RBA will prefer to wait for positive signals on the domestic and global outlook before raising the cash rate, an outcome not expected until the second half of 2015.

Cash Rate Update – October 2014

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.50%.

Since the RBA’s last meeting the domestic economy has seen a decline in the Australian dollar due to a continued reduction in commodity prices and strength in the US dollar. If the lower Australian dollar is sustained it should support our non-mining exports however, notwithstanding a strong housing related market, the Australian economy overall remains soft. With inflation under control and a global economy not growing as quickly as expected the RBA will most likely remain on the sidelines for another 6 – 12 months.

Cash Rate – No Change

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced it will maintain the official cash rate at 2.50%.

Most Economists are now forecasting this period of interest rate stability to continue until mid-2015, notwithstanding an improvement in business confidence, as measured by a recent Dun & Bradstreet survey of 800 businesses in Australia. 40% of the surveyed businesses are expecting their profit in the final quarter of 2014 to be higher than in the same period a year ago. Just 11% are expecting their profits to fall. Business in the retail, services, finance and real estate sectors are the most optimistic about the next three months whilst those in the manufacturing, construction, transport and utilities sectors still expect their profits to reduce.

Interestingly, the survey showed an increase in the number of businesses expecting prices to moderate, meaning less pressure on the RBA to increase the cash rate and supporting the Economist’s expectations of no change to the cash rate for many months.

Important changes to the Privacy Act

From 12th March 2014 significant reforms to privacy laws came into place under the Privacy Act.

What are the changes and how will they affect you?

As part of the reforms, you will be able to:

  • Request access to your personal information held by an organisation (eg. a Lender)
  • Request a correction to your personal information held by an organisation
  • Opt out of receiving direct marketing communications from an organisation
  • Ask an organisation where they collected your personal information from
  • Find out if your personal information will be sent overseas.

Other important changes relate to the way your credit report is impacted.

What is a credit report?

  • A file that records your applications for finance, any defaults and your current lending relationships
  • All of this information is used by Lenders to help decide whether they will approve or decline your application for a loan or credit card.

From 12th March 2014 your credit report will:

  • Show your monthly repayment conduct on your loan or credit card (that is, whether you make your loan and credit card repayments on time, and if not, how late you are in making payments).
  • Include the day on which a payment is due and if you make a payment after that day, the date on which it is paid.

Are these changes good or bad?

If you always pay your loan and credit card payments on time these changes will be beneficial as Lenders will be able to see your positive behaviour and assess your application accordingly. They will also show that you have worked positively to fix a default – rather than just having the default recorded on your credit report.

However, if you make a late payment you could be penalised by having a loan or credit card declined – or a requirement to pay higher interest rates on your new loan or credit card.